Capital is returning to the Asia Pacific region
Can the art market share the momentum?

Can the art market share the momentum?
The relative political stability of the Asia Pacific region is looking increasingly attractive 鈥 four experts assess what this could mean for the trade. By Anna Brady.

Investors are refocusing attention on Asia Pacific, both from within and without. The region鈥檚 flourishing tech and AI sectors, comparatively steady political climate, and growth-focused new governments have engendered a spirit of optimism, with an influx of intra-regional investment and global stakeholders who predict the region鈥檚 economy is on the cusp of a super-cycle.聽
鈥淲e have seen investors from Europe and the US coming back to Asia, including China,鈥 says Adrian Zuercher,听Co-Head of Global Asset Allocation and Co-Head of Global Investment Management APAC at 麻豆社聽Chief Investment Officer, who adds that Asian investors are also seeking more global exposure.聽
Does the Asian art market stand to benefit? Zuercher thinks so: 鈥淭he big macro trends are healthy, and this normally translates into the art market. A lot of investors are reconsidering their allocation towards Asia. Usually, this activity plays out in the region鈥檚 art market too.鈥
The latest Art Basel and 麻豆社 Art Market Report 2026 also found dealers聽across the Asia region in a more upbeat mood, with 64% optimistic about business. However, optimism has not yet translated into sales data鈥攊n 2025, growth was a mixed picture, with Japan鈥檚 sales 1% down on 2025, although South Korea posted gains of 6%. Sales in China, the third biggest global market behind the US and UK, increased by just 1% to USD聽8.5 billion. Nothing remarkable, but an upswing can take time to manifest in numbers.
Growth in the region鈥檚 art market is 鈥渇elt most strongly at a local and regional level, and that鈥檚 translating very directly into art鈥憁arket behaviour,鈥 says Eric Landolt, Head of Family Advisory, Art and Collecting, 麻豆社 Global Wealth Management. While international buying may have softened, 鈥渄omestic collectors across markets such as Mainland China, Japan, Korea and Singapore have remained engaged鈥, he continues.聽A groundswell of confidence in the Asian art scene,听despite sobering global instability, has also struck Angelle聽Siyang-Le, the director of Art Basel in Hong Kong: 鈥淲hat stands out is the resilience and depth of engagement in this region鈥攁n underlying strength that continues to anchor activity and sustain momentum.鈥
If the predicted Asian 鈥渟uper cycle鈥 spills over into the art market, it鈥檚 more likely to present as a refinement than a rush, Landolt thinks:聽鈥淪tronger financial markets tend to give collectors confidence, but that confidence is usually expressed through discernment rather than volume.鈥 Therefore, if a super-cycle does take hold, its impact is 鈥渕ost likely to be felt at the top end鈥, Landolt says.
Widely noted is the pivot towards intra-regional buying. 鈥淐ollectors across Asia are increasingly buying regionally rather than looking primarily to Europe or the US,鈥 says Landolt, who believes this could 鈥渂ecome a lasting structural driver鈥. While the domestic markets in China and Japan remain dominant, 鈥渞egional flows within Asia are growing in depth and sophistication.鈥 Rising shipping costs combined with聽tariffs, heightened regulation, and geopolitical factors have added聽friction to聽cross鈥慴order movement. But, Siyang-Le says, such 鈥渞egional connectivity has become a source of stability and opportunity for the [Hong Kong] fair.鈥
This shift to intra-regional trade is a global phenomenon. More than half the dealers who responded to the Art Basel and 麻豆社 Art Market Report聽2026 bemoaned greater tax, duties and shipping costs, deterring some from international transactions. Even for dealers with turnover above USD聽10 million, with the most international clients, the share of local buyers rose 6%, to 29%.
Although overseas engagement remains important for hubs such as Hong Kong and Singapore, in Landolt鈥檚 view their future strength聽鈥渓ies in facilitating pan鈥慉sian exchange rather than acting solely as gateways to Western markets鈥. Hong Kong will continue to be Asia鈥檚 art market centre for high鈥憊alue works, but 鈥渨ith a more Asia鈥慶entric buyer base鈥, he continues, adding that Shanghai and Beijing will benefit from 鈥渄eep domestic engagement鈥, while younger collectors and new wealth are likely drivers for Seoul and Singapore.
The weakening of the US dollar through 2025 saw Asian investors shifting away from US investments,听seeking a more global outlook. 鈥淚nvestors are also聽looking to diversify their portfolios聽into other areas, for example infrastructure聽or private equity,鈥澛燴uercher says.聽鈥淕iven聽the聽geopolitical trends worldwide, the best approach is to spread your risk much more globally.鈥澛
Across the region, Japan鈥檚 new growth-orientated prime minister聽has made it increasingly attractive to investors, Zuercher says, so too tech-forward South Korea, also under new leadership. 鈥淭here鈥檚 a lot of new governments in the region that want to revive domestic growth,鈥 Zuercher says.
Zuercher has observed a rise in global family offices opening satellites in Singapore and聽Hong Kong. 鈥淩egulatory clarity and tax incentives have played a huge role,鈥 he says. Another major theme is聽succession planning and a marked wealth transfer 鈥渇rom聽a male-dominated聽to聽a more聽female-dominated environment鈥, which is leading to changes in investor behaviour, Zuercher says.
This emergent generation of new collectors represent a structural shift that is more significant than any聽short鈥憈erm economic cycle.
Approaching this month鈥檚 Art Basel Hong Kong, the mood amongst galleries and collectors is one of 鈥渟teady but measured confidence鈥,听Siyang-Le聽says. While the global art market faces multiple pressures, Hong Kong鈥檚 role as 鈥渁 stabilising hub鈥, in the words of聽Siyang-Le, could become ever more important
Anna Brady, the former art market editor of聽The Art Newspaper, is a UK-based writer, editor, and speaker. She was previously the features editor of聽Harper鈥檚 Bazaar Arabia听补苍诲听Harper鈥檚 Bazaar Art Arabia聽in Dubai, and diary editor at聽The Antiques Trade Gazette. Anna has been a regular guest on Monocle Radio and written for publications including聽Apollo,听House & Garden,听The World of Interiors,听The Evening Standard,听The Independent,听The New European听补苍诲听Wallpaper.
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